Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience's content profile, based on 39 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Kördel, M.; Kühnel, A.; Kimmig, A.-C. S.; Beinbauer, S.; Kogler, L.; Sundström-Poromaa, I.; Henes, M.; Kroemer, N. B.
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Laboratory stress tasks are widely used to assess individual differences in acute stress reactivity, yet it remains unclear how these responses correspond to stress experienced in everyday life. Here, we combined the Montreal imaging stress task (MIST) with ecological momentary assessment (EMA) over three months to assess acute and everyday stress in 67 healthy women. Greater within-person variability in everyday stress, but not average stress levels, were associated with stronger overall stress-related brain responses (b = 0.73, p = .039), with a whole-brain association particularly evident in the bilateral caudate (rROI = .32, pcluster.FWE < .001). Greater everyday stress variability was also associated with stronger stress-related functional connectivity between the ventromedial prefrontal cortex (vmPFC) and parietal and posterior medial regions (pcluster.FWE < .001). We conclude that acute neural stress responses relate more closely to fluctuations in perceived stress than to how stressed an individual feels on average. This suggests that laboratory stress tasks capture acute stress responsivity that is distinct from average stress exposure, highlighting the importance of considering what these tasks measure when interpreting individual differences in acute stress responses.
Lustenhouwer, R.; Dijkerman, H. C.
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Tactile imagery has attracted growing fundamental and clinical interest. Previous studies often investigated neural and functional similarities between imagined and actual touch. Several functional aspects of touch, such as differences between active and passive touch, between different haptic features during active touch or sensitivity of different body parts for passive touch, have also been explored in tactile imagery. Furthermore, considerable individual differences in the ability to engage in tactile imagery have been observed. However, several important aspects, involving different imagery components and a wide variety of touch qualities remain to be explored within a single comprehensive study. The current study therefore aims to provide a wide-ranging assessment of tactile imagery in terms of imagery processing components (vividness, maintenance, transformation), type of touch (active versus passive) and touch qualities (object properties for active touch, different tactile sensations across body sites for passive touch). We developed a comprehensive questionnaire containing 72 items to assess tactile imagery ability. 136 healthy participants were asked to imagine different touch types and rate imagery vividness and their ability to maintain and transform each sensation on 5-point Likert-scales. Active touch varied by object (plastic bottle, modeling clay, sponge) and property (temperature, weight, texture, resistance). Passive touch varied by body site (lip, shin, sole of the foot, lower back) and sensation (stroking, vibration, pinching). Overall, participants were able to perform tactile imagery: the vast majority reported at least some imagery across touch types. Individual variability was substantial: scores bridged both ends of the scale. Active tactile imagery differed significantly between objects, depending on tactile property. Object-property pairs with particularly strong imagery were bottle-temperature, bottle-weight and sponge-texture, whereas bottle-resistance elicited weaker imagery, as did temperature and weight for both sponge and clay. Passive tactile imagery was significantly stronger for body sites with higher receptor density (i.e. lip and foot). Imagery of stroking was significantly weaker than vibration and pinching. Active and passive imagery showed a strong, positive correlation, though some participants had relatively strong active imagery, but weaker passive imagery, or vice versa. Our findings confirm that tactile imagery ability varies across individuals and touch types, underlining the importance of a comprehensive imagery ability assessment tool specific to the tactile domain.
Zair, Y.; Avidan, G.
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The gastric network, comprised of brain regions whose activity synchronizes with the stomach's slow-wave rhythm, offers a unique window into the brain-body interaction involved in interoceptive processing. While previous work has established the existence of this network, its intrinsic organization and temporal unfolding remain poorly understood. Here, we reanalyzed resting-state fMRI-electrogastrogram data from 43 healthy adults of both sexes to characterize the time-averaged architecture and time-varying reconfiguration of the gastric network. We identified regions exhibiting phase-locked synchronization with the stomach slow electrical rhythm (0.05 Hz) and characterized cortical parcels comprising this network. Time-averaged graph-theoretical analysis revealed a fixed unimodal organization of functional communities, with primary visual, default mode network (DMN) and dorsal attention regions emerging as the principal time-averaged hubs. Next, we applied edge-centric functional connectivity (eFC) to capture the network state during transient high-amplitude "bursts". Time-varying community detection revealed communities whose compositions formed integrative combinations of DMN, visual, attentional and control elements. Edge-derived hubs shifted away from primary visual dominancy in the time-averaged analysis, and were instead directed by DMN regions, suggesting that moments of heightened connectivity in the network are coordinated by multisensory integration rather than passive sensory processing. These findings demonstrate that the gastric network is not merely a time-averaged, sensory-bound system, but rather a flexible and dynamically reconfiguring interoceptive network whose organization is selectively coordinated by transient cofluctuation events. This work provides a comprehensive network analysis of gastric-brain coupling and reveals a temporally structured mode of interoceptive integration that may support adaptive physiological and cognitive regulation.
Ehlers, M. R.; Stiffel, H.; Kastrinogiannis, A.; Koppold, A.; Lonsdorf, T. B.
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Anxiety-related traits (ARTs) have been linked to altered fear learning, but previous studies have typically examined different experimental phases and response systems, limiting the comparability of findings and the accumulation of consistent evidence. Here, we comprehensively examined associations between ARTs and fear conditioning across acquisition, extinction and renewal and across subjective, physiological and neural response systems in a well-powered sample (N = 267) using a two-day differential conditioning paradigm. ARTs were operationalized as a composite of trait anxiety, neuroticism, and intolerance of uncertainty and conditioned responding was assessed using skin conductance responses, fear-potentiated startle, US expectancy ratings, fear ratings, and functional magnetic resonance imaging. Higher ARTs were consistently associated with elevated subjective fear and US expectancy to both threat and safety cues during extinction and renewal, without corresponding elevations in physiological responding. At the same time, ARTs were not associated with threat-safety discrimination in subjective or physiological measures across phases, while neural associations were limited to reduced dorsal anterior cingulate cortex discrimination during early renewal. These findings suggest that ARTs are characterized by a CS unspecific cognitive bias toward heightened threat expectancy and evaluation rather than altered associative fear learning, highlighting the importance of distinguishing conditioned discrimination from general levels of responding across response systems.
Rajput, D.; Felmingham, K.; Sophie Lin, C.-H.; Garrido, M.
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BACKGROUND: An individual's adaptation to threatening environments under uncertainty is reflected in stress responses. Predictability (the ability to anticipate events) and controllability (the ability to control outcomes) are central to how one adapts, yet their joint influence on aversive learning remains unclear. METHODS: Thirty healthy adults completed a probabilistic aversive learning task in which cue-outcome contingencies varied across levels of predictability and controllability, i.e. whether shock intensity depended on prediction accuracy. Prediction accuracy, reaction time, subjective stress ratings, and skin conductance responses were recorded throughout. Trial-wise learning dynamics were estimated using the Volatile Kalman Filter. RESULTS: Prediction accuracy reduced as environments became less predictable and negatively associated with higher learning rates across predictability levels, with the strongest relationship observed in highly predictable blocks. Skin conductance responses showed that moderately predictable environments elicited responses like those in highly predictable environments when accurate predictions reduced shock intensity, but resembled responses in unpredictable environments when shock intensity was uncontrollable. Model comparison revealed a double dissociation between subjective stress ratings and skin conductance responses. Subjective ratings were best explained by model-derived volatility when prediction accuracy determined shock intensity and by belief uncertainty when it was independent of prediction accuracy, whereas skin conductance responses showed the reverse pattern. Reaction times were best explained by belief uncertainty when predictions influenced shock intensity. Higher anxiety was associated with elevated learning rates in highly and moderately predictable blocks when predictions did not control shock intensity.
Saarinen, A.; Asikainen, T.; Lehtimäki, T.; Raitakari, O.; Keltikangas-Järvinen, L.
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Background: Previous trauma research includes many limitations, such as the scarcity of pretraumatic health measurements and assessment of traumatic experiences with a broad scope across the lifespan. To respond to these gaps, we aimed to develop a new, prospective, population-based trauma dataset from childhood to middle age. Methods: We used the Young Finns Study that is a population-based, multi-generational, prospective study (n = 3596 for the main generation). It has started in 1980 (baseline assessment) and includes follow-ups in 1983, 1986, 1989, 1992, 1997, 2001, 2007, 2011/2012, and 2018-2020. From the 38-year follow-up and ten measurement points of the YFS, we collected all relevant trauma variables, including both free-format and structured questions that both the participants and their parents responded to. By a data-driven case-to-case analysis, we developed a scale to numerically capture variation in the quality of the experiences. Results: Our final dataset captured a total of 7769 traumatic experiences. We also developed the Traumatic Experience Severity Scale (TESS), including six subscales such as shamefulness, rarity, danger to life or health, effects on everyday life, human-made physical threat, and whether the target person was within or outside one's household. We also preprocessed the dataset to be later easily interleaved with other psychological, cardiovascular, and epigenetic variables of the YFS. Conclusions: We believe this new trauma dataset with thousands of experiences across the lifespan provides new opportunities to multidisciplinary, lifelong trauma research.
Yair, N.; Coldham, Y.; Tavor, I.; Bar-Haim, Y.
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Individuality is a defining feature of human biology. The functional network architecture of the human brain harbors person-specific qualities and forms individualized connectivity profiles that function as a neural fingerprint, both stable and unique across time. Here, using fMRI data from 431 Human Connectome Project participants, we examined whether neural individuality is more strongly exhibited in brain regions bearing signatures of recent human evolution. We calculated region-wise fingerprinting accuracy and associated it with four properties of evolutionary cortical organization: cortical expansion, myelin content estimate (T1w/T2w), human-specific gene-expression profiles, and functional homology to other primates. Across all four measures, neural individuality was strongest in cortical areas showing greater evolutionary novelty in humans, particularly frontoparietal control and default mode networks, and weaker in more conserved primary regions. Our findings connect evolutionary variation across species with stable functional variation among individuals.
Wu, K.; de Palma Aristides, R.; Herzog, R.; Mirasso, C. R.; Sorrentino, P.; Gollo, L. L.
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Intrinsic neural timescale (INT) quantifies the persistence of spontaneous neural dynamics and offers a principled metric for characterizing brain-wide temporal organization. Although a hierarchy of INTs has been established during rest, how task engagement reconfigures this organization and how it is constrained by the structural connectome (SC) remain poorly understood. Here, we systematically mapped whole-brain INT using high-resolution fMRI data from the Human Connectome Project during rest and seven tasks spanning working memory, gambling, motor, language, social, relational, and emotion domains. Task engagement induced robust, regionally heterogeneous changes in INT while largely preserving the brain-wide temporal hierarchy across cognitive states. SC-INT coupling remained strong but consistently decreased during tasks, indicating that anatomical architecture continues to constrain INT, although its influence is attenuated under task demands. To investigate these findings mechanistically, we employed a multiscale, whole-brain neuronal-network model, which revealed that INT increase and peak within a broad critical-like regime. Strong SC-INT coupling, as observed empirically, emerged in the subcritical regime, weakened progressively with increasing network excitability, and reversed in the supercritical regime. These results demonstrate that task engagement reconfigures INTs while maintaining their hierarchical organization, suggesting that both resting and task states operate largely within a common subcritical dynamical regime.
Sklyar, Y.; Hendler, S.; Schonberg, T.
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Museum visits typically follow curator-defined routes that constrain how visitors shape their own experience, yet choice is widely held to heighten engagement, autonomy, and enjoyment. Virtual reality (VR) offers a setting in which to study these processes because it combines ecological immersion with precise, continuous behavioral measurement. We investigated (i) whether VR- derived behavioral signals are associated with self-reported enjoyment during a virtual museum tour, and (ii) whether the level of agency afforded to visitors influences enjoyment. Forty-eight adults completed a room-scale, life-size VR tour (8 * 4 m) of seven paintings from the Tel Aviv Museum of Art, each accompanied by a synchronized audio guide. Synchronized gaze and head- position streams were logged continuously (50 Hz) and segmented into painting-level viewing episodes using a trial-and-tile pipeline that intersects each painting's trial interval with an empirically defined spatial window in front of the canvas. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three agency conditions, Active (choice before every artwork), Semi-Active (choice for the first three), or Passive (fixed route),while the artwork sequence was held identical. Self- reported enjoyment at the tour and painting levels did not differ reliably across agency conditions. Among VR-derived measures, gaze engagement during the audio guide showed the clearest (though modest) association with painting-level liking, whereas locomotion and pacing measures were weak and inconsistent predictors. Agency nonetheless reliably modulated several gaze- and time-based viewing measures. The findings reveal a dissociation between subjective enjoyment and the micro-structure of viewing, and establish a reusable framework for full-tour, painting-level behavioral analysis in immersive settings.
Szekely, O.; Bultitude, J.; Chambers, C.; Preatoni, E.; Davies, J.; Buckingham, G.
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Past studies using transcranial magnetic stimulation have shown larger motor-evoked potentials when people observe someone lifting a heavy object than when they observe someone lifting a light one. This means that observers may engage their own motor system in proportion to the perceived effort. However, the different responses during the observation of light and heavy objects may have been influenced by predictable trial sequences within blocked presentation, making it unclear whether corticospinal excitability reflects online processing of kinematics or is affected by top-down expectations. In this Registered Report, 57 right-handed participants passively observed videos of a precision grip and lift of heavy and light objects while receiving a single-pulse TMS to the left primary motor cortex during the lift phase of the movement. Motor-evoked potentials were recorded from the right first dorsal interosseous muscle. The study compared two main observation contexts: a predictable trial sequence in which repeated videos of the same lifts were presented in a blocked order, and an unpredictable one in which videos were presented semi-randomly and participants could rely only on kinematic cues to perceive the weight of the lifted object. In both conditions, the same videos of lifts of equivalent-looking heavy and light objects were used and only the order of presentation differed. Contrary to our predictions, in the blocked (predictable) condition, there was no significant difference in MEPs elicited by light and heavy lifts. In the unpredictable condition, participants showed greater corticospinal excitability during the observation of the light lifts compared to the heavy lifts. This suggests that in the absence of predictable information, the corticospinal system was sensitive to the observed kinematics, but contrary to previous findings, its excitability varied inversely with the object weight.
van den Heuvel, M.; Libedinsky, I.; Quiroz, S.; Repple, J.; Cocchi, L.
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Lesion Network Mapping (LNM) is a framework used for identifying symptom-related brain circuits by projecting lesion locations onto a normative connectome. Recent methodological investigations have raised concerns about the biological interpretation and specificity of the circuits derived using this method, with published LNM maps often showing high similarity across clinically unrelated conditions. Specificity testing has subsequently been put forward as the decisive step to ensure specificity to the symptom in question, accompanied by the argument that this step was not evaluated in the original methodological investigation. Yet, sensitivity testing, specificity testing, case-control LNM, permutation of group labels, and symptom-based LNM involve related operations on connectivity matrix C. We expand on specificity testing in LNM, clarify its relationship to other LNM steps and variants, and examine the persistent repetition among LNM specificity networks across studies. These considerations advance our understanding of the disease-specificity limitation of LNM and encourage the development of new methodological approaches for identifying brain circuits underlying psychiatric and neurological disorders.
Izac, M.; Pierrieau, E.; Rossignol, E.; Grechukhin, N.; Coudroy, E.; Pillette, L.; N'Kaoua, B.; Jeunet-Kelway, C.
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Kinaesthetic motor imagery (kMI) is widely used in sport to enhance motor performance by engaging cortical sensorimotor networks. Neurofeedback may further support kMI, but the optimal neural target to reinforce remains unclear. Maximal sensorimotor event-related desynchronisation (SMR-ERD) represents a relevant target as it may index sensorimotor cortex engagement, yet sport expertise has been associated with reduced SMR-ERD, potentially reflecting neural efficiency. The optimal neurofeedback target may therefore depend on sport expertise, movement expertise, and individual kMI ability. This study examined how these factors influence sensorimotor activity during kMI. We compared 17 basketball players (Experts) and 16 individuals without formal basketball training (Novices). kMI ability and frequency of use were assessed using questionnaires, while SMR-ERD was quantified using electroencephalography (EEG) during kMI. Participants imagined either a basketball-specific movement (Free throw), for which only Experts had extensive experience, or a generic movement (Box lifting), familiar to both groups. Experts reported greater kMI ability and more frequent kMI use than Novices. Only Experts exhibited significant and sustained SMR-ERD during kMI. Moreover, SMR-ERD was stronger in Experts than Novices specifically during Free throw kMI, corresponding to their movement of expertise. Nonetheless, within the Expert group, higher kMI ability was associated with reduced SMR-ERD. These findings suggest that sport expertise initially enhances voluntary recruitment of sensorimotor networks during kMI, whereas greater kMI ability may subsequently promote neural efficiency, resulting in reduced overall sensorimotor cortical activation. These results highlight the need to tailor kMI-based neurofeedback training to users' sport expertise and kMI ability levels.
Chen, P.-H.; Duncan, N. W.; Lee, H.-c.; Liu, Y.-J.; Hsu, T.-Y.
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Background: Bipolar disorder is associated with persistent social, cognitive, and functional impairment during euthymia, yet the neural mechanisms underlying these deficits remain unclear. Alterations to self-referential processing are a candidate mechanism, but existing electrophysiological studies rely on emotionally valenced paradigms that potentially confound self-processing with emotional biases. Methods: We analysed electroencephalography from 28 patients with bipolar disorder (type I or II) and 28 age- and sex-matched healthy controls during an emotionally neutral colour judgment task with self-related (preference) and non-self-related (similarity) conditions. Late positive potentials, temporal generalisation decoding, and frequency band decoding (theta, alpha, beta) were used to characterise the temporal dynamics and oscillatory correlates of self versus non-self processing. Results: Controls showed higher overall event-related potential amplitudes and greater self versus non-self differentiation than patients (condition by group interaction, 337 to 946 ms). Broadband temporal generalisation decoding revealed extensive cross-temporal generalisation of the self versus non-self representation in controls, spanning most of the trial, but no significant generalisation in patients. Frequency analyses showed that alpha and beta carried self versus non-self information in both groups, with broader extent in controls, and that anterior theta carried this information in patients but not controls. Exploratory correlations linked decoding measures to rumination and anxiety but not to manic symptoms. Conclusions: The neural representation distinguishing self-referential from externally guided processing was both smaller in amplitude and less temporally sustained in bipolar disorder. Reduced persistence is not detectable by conventional amplitude analyses, and may bear on the self-related and social cognitive difficulties reported in this population.
Asan, L.; Goltermann, O.; Keuter, L.; Jessberger, J.; Büchel, C.
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Pain promotes protective behavior but can interfere with other biologically important goals. Survival may require overcoming pain to obtain rewards, secure resources or escape danger, yet evidence for pain modulation by competing demands and endogenous modulatory systems during goal pursuit is lacking. We developed a paradigm in which participants chose whether to pursue monetary rewards despite painful heat stimulation during fMRI, under placebo or opioid receptor blockade with naloxone. Actively pursuing motivational goals during painful stimulation reduced perceived pain and increased fMRI signal in pain-modulatory cortical regions, including multiple subregions of the rostral anterior cingulate cortex (rACC) and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, alongside enhanced rACC-periaqueductal gray coupling, consistent with recruitment of the descending pain modulatory system. Behavioral and neural effects were attenuated by naloxone, supporting a mediating role for endogenous opioids. These findings provide convergent evidence that active goal pursuit engages opioidergic pain modulatory mechanisms to reduce pain in humans.
Yuan, X.; Wang, Y.; Dang, C.; Liu, H.; Yang, L.; Li, D.; Sun, L.; Song, Y.
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Background: Attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a neurodevelopmental condition lacking mechanistically grounded interventions. Here, we tested whether transcranial photobiomodulation (tPBM) can restore neural homeostasis in ADHD patients. Methods: In a randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled crossover design, 28 young adults with ADHD completed a two-week intervention, receiving active (150 mW) and sham (0 mW) stimulation over the right prefrontal cortex for 16 minutes with concurrent electroencephalography (EEG) recording, alongside 29 healthy controls providing a normative reference. Results: Behaviorally, tPBM improved working memory K scores in the ADHD group, with performance closer to typical levels. Across sensor and source levels, tPBM progressively increased relative alpha power, steepened the aperiodic exponent, and enhanced neural complexity, as indexed by multiscale entropy, with widespread effects spanning frontoparietal and attention systems, extending to sensory and default-mode regions, collectively indicating a shift toward normative neural dynamics. Notably, these changes--consistent with rebalanced excitation/inhibition dynamics--predict behavioral improvements in working memory. Conclusions: Together, our findings identify tPBM as a candidate approach for restoring excitation/inhibition balance and normalizing large-scale neural dynamics in ADHD patients, providing a mechanistic foundation for its therapeutic potential.
Sekar, N. P.; Fan, J. M.; Sellers, K. K.; Astudillo Maya, D.; Tremblay-McGaw, A.; Becker, N.; Le Berre, A.; Allawala, A.; Hamlat, E.; Sugrue, L. P.; Rao, V. R.; Krystal, A. D.; Chang, E. F.; Khambhati, A. N.
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Mood fluctuations in major depressive disorder are difficult to anticipate. The biological neural rhythms that organize mood dynamics over days to weeks remain unknown. In individuals implanted with a chronic neural sensing and stimulation device for treatment-resistant depression, we collected years-long intracranial neural recordings alongside daily mood ratings. Both mood and limbic neural activity fluctuated cyclically with multiday (multidien) periodicities of 2-34 days. An individual's daily phase position within mood cycles tracked depression severity, distinguishing whether symptoms were rising, peaking, or resolving. Neural rhythms led mood cycles and forecast an individual's mood trajectory up to 30 days in advance, outperforming models based on raw neural activity. Electrical stimulation reshaped these rhythms, shifting individuals away from the peak-depression phase of their multidien cycle. Our results identify multidien rhythms as an organizing principle of mood in depression and a forecastable, modifiable target for chronotherapeutic neuromodulation.
Wang, X.; Pomorin, Y.; Peters, E.; Erlacher, D.; Koenig, T.
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During wakefulness, we are used to perceive the environment through our senses, act on it and take these inputs to update our experiences and build the perceptions. When the inputs are not longer accurate or structured, people would sometimes have hallucinatory experiences. Whether such experiences are associated with distinct patterns of thought, and how they relate to large scale brain dynamics, remains unclear. To address these questions, we combined experience sampling protocol with EEG recording during multimodal Ganzfeld, where participants were exposed to unstructured, uniform visual and auditory stimulation. Participants repeatedly reported the complexity of their visual experiences together with ongoing thoughts related to perceptual belief, prediction perception mismatch, active updating, and prior mentation. EEG microstates were extracted to characterize the temporal dynamics of large-scale brain networks. We found that visual complexity was related to all four dimensions, but partly distinct in simple and complex visual experiences. These phenomenological changes were accompanied by distinct, and often nonlinear, dynamics of large-scale brain networks involved in visual processing, salience detection, and internally directed cognition. It also indicates that this paradigm might be a valuable model for investigating the mechanisms underlying hallucinatory experiences in psychosis.
Oyarzun-Silva, R. A.; Hernandez-Hernandez, P.; Fernandez-Vaquero, M. A.; De Luis-Cabezon, N.
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Background. Videolaryngoscopy still requires adjuncts or hyperangulated rescue in a clinically important minority, and bedside screening discriminates modestly. Point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) of the anterior airway is a promising alternative, but existing prediction models are opaque or assume a pre-specified functional form. We developed and internally validated a parsimonious, fully disclosed POCUS risk equation whose form is recovered from data and whose structural properties are machine-checked by formal proof - to our knowledge the first formally verified clinical risk predictor - following TRIPOD+AI 2024. Methods. In a prospective single-centre, single-operator cohort of 259 adults undergoing elective videolaryngoscopy (no-Easy airway 68/259, 26.3%), Sequentially Thresholded Least Squares with bootstrap stability selection (B=300) screened a 71-term library of nine POCUS features and retained a seven-term logistic equation; a two-term bootstrap-stable model was pre-specified as robustness analysis. Internal validation used 5x10 repeated cross-validation plus temporal and device hold-outs, with pre-specified overfitting and optimism assessments. Five behavioural properties of the deployed equation were machine-checked in Lean 4. Results. Two interactions met the |c|/sigma_c>2 stability criterion: skin-to-epiglottis x skin-to-hyoid-bone distance and tongue volume x sagittal tongue area. The seven-term equation reached a 5x10 cross-validated C-statistic of 0.966 (optimism-corrected 0.968) and held across temporal and device hold-outs (0.94-0.97). Calibration-in-the-large matched prevalence, with cross-validated slope 0.90 attenuating to 0.625 out-of-time; standard recalibration restored 0.92 without loss of discrimination. The pre-specified two-term robustness model reproduced this performance (C-statistic 0.964-0.968; events-per-parameter 34; shrinkage 0.99), confirming the result is not an artefact of the screening stage. Net benefit over a clinical baseline was positive across 10-50% thresholds. All five Lean 4 theorems compiled without sorry. Conclusions. A sparse, formally verified POCUS equation predicts difficult videolaryngoscopy with high internally validated discrimination and quantified, modest overfitting. Because the equation was developed in a single-operator cohort and its inputs are operator-dependent, external validation requires prior harmonisation of the measurement protocol and operator credentialing.
Chaturvedi, R. R.; Gracner, T.; Perez-Arce, F.; Suen, S.-c.; Jin, J.; Orriens, B.; Pacula, R. L.; Sexton Ward, A.; Haile, R.; Kapteyn, A.
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Importance: Evidence on GLP-1/GIP therapies is largely derived from trials enrolling selected populations or medical records that miss utilization outside healthcare channels. No nationally representative cohort has characterized real-world uptake, indications, and access. Objective: To characterize GLP-1/GIP prevalence, indication, clinical profile, and access. Design: Prospective cohort study with three GLP-1/GIP surveillance waves (March 2024, December 2024, October 2025). Setting: The Understanding America Study, an address-based, nationally representative panel of approximately 15,000 US adults aged 18+ years initiated in 2014. Participants: UAS participants responding to at least one surveillance wave (n=9150). Exposures: GLP-1/GIP use status (never vs any use, comprising current and former use), self-reported primary indication (diabetes, weight loss, or other), and access pathway (traditional vs non-traditional). Main Outcomes and Measures: Survey-weighted prevalence of GLP-1/GIP use, overall and by indication and access pathway; sociodemographic, cardiometabolic, treatment, and access characteristics; and smartwatch-derived resting heart rate, heart rate variability, maximum activity heart rate, step count, and sleep duration and variability. Results: Among n=9150 adults (1274 with any use; 60.9% female; median age 53 years), weighted prevalence increased 46%, from 8.2% (March 2024) to 12.0% (October 2025) representing 32 million. Weight-loss indications grew, reaching nearly half of use (4.1% to 5.6%); diabetes-indicated use was stable (5.3% to 5.4%). Users carried high cardiometabolic burden (obesity, 68.2%; diabetes, 53.6%) but diverged by indication: diabetes-indicated users were older (median, 59 vs 49 years), whereas weight-loss-indicated users were more often female (69.9% vs 51.3%) and healthier. One in three users (~9 million) had non-traditional access, especially in weight-loss-indicated users, of whom 33% had no conventional prescription; 41% used compounding, online, or foreign pharmacies; and, 43% lacked coverage. Non-traditional users were five times as likely to report an unlisted, likely compounded formulation (19.8% vs 4.1%). All p<0.05. Conclusions and Relevance: Real-world GLP-1/GIP use has grown rapidly and diversified substantially in indication, access, and population profile. One in 3 users obtained treatment through nontraditional channels largely invisible to claims data, raising long-term safety, efficacy, and coverage questions. GLIMMER provides a public, nationally representative longitudinal evidence base for future payer and provider decisions.
Choudhuri, G.; Akhundova-Unadkat, G.; Naidoo, N.; Morales-Castillo, M.; Guillaume, X.; Duijnhoven, R. G.; Safaei, A.; Swain, M. G.
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Background & Aims: Fatigue is a central symptom of chronic liver disease (CLD), substantially impacting health-related quality of life (HRQoL). This study aimed to further understand CLD symptomatology, including fatigue, and its impact on HRQoL from a patient perspective. Methods: Abbott Global Assessment of Patients unmet needs (aGAP) was a multinational, cross-sectional survey in adults with compensated CLD in China, India and Mexico, conducted between July and November 2024. Adult participants who self-reported that they had physician-diagnosed CLD and were experiencing fatigue completed a quantitative survey to assess symptom burden and included three HRQoL patient-reported outcome (PRO) questionnaires (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS]-29+2, Work Productivity and Activity Impairment - Specific Health Problem version 2.0 [WPAI: SHP], Multidimensional Fatigue Inventory [MFI]). Results: Overall, 505 participants (China: 200; Mexico: 105; India: 200) completed the study. Participants reported that their CLD-related fatigue sometimes, often or always affected their self-esteem/confidence (45.1%) and ability to maintain or acquire new employment (38.6%). Most participants reported moderate (51.3%) or serious (26.9%) fatigue, with 33.5% experiencing fatigue every day or almost every day. Many participants felt their social life was negatively impacted by their fatigue (47.3%) and that there were related financial difficulties (53.9%). Use of validated PRO tools demonstrated severe fatigue (MFI: overall mean [SD] 13.9 [3.4] general fatigue and 13.4 [3.6] physical fatigue) as well as substantial levels of work and activity impairment (WPAI: SHP overall mean [SD] 53.0 [26.4]) and high levels of anxiety, pain interference, depression and sleep interference (PROMIS T-scores [≥]54). Conclusions: Fatigue has a substantial impact on HRQoL among adults with CLD across several countries, highlighting a global unmet need for targeted interventions to effectively identify and manage the condition.